Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1225.808213 1416.330489 1637.144566 1914.503169 2257.159540 2671.396774 3.217481e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 971.195473 1212.074336 1522.297004 1961.024481 2582.496745 3459.411181 4.845742e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 831.375520 1086.180181 1436.039651 1969.560756 2797.718614 4101.784487 6.470435e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 720.527458 973.473783 1337.730229 1926.283200 2908.853742 4603.930907 8.084215e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 655.937513 913.128588 1299.787006 1958.941080 3138.709394 5367.501735 1.057398e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 583.708027 830.274920 1212.753681 1891.288712 3172.040599 5771.877300 1.253542e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 528.150401 765.583228 1144.240817 1840.528454 3220.677211 6219.958264 1.490508e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 480.755240 708.182129 1079.602510 1784.245760 3242.983283 6616.823755 1.744171e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 464.304306 698.634945 1093.629390 1875.354123 3594.008000 7939.521172 2.422437e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 444.323371 680.781609 1090.347013 1931.450767 3883.161721 9244.758510 3.270040e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 426.742061 665.021709 1088.469849 1989.497469 4193.997801 10783.616204 4.492357e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 402.715975 635.641360 1057.705412 1980.627843 4334.539373 11869.480326 5.708760e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 383.963890 615.913306 1046.757393 2022.687702 4652.123909 13894.444481 8.282098e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 368.239358 600.519352 1043.129730 2083.386230 5055.894256 16656.987582 1.300005e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 349.112279 576.762783 1019.405764 2091.040563 5304.943615 19026.024333 1.927822e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 327.120556 545.624451 976.893073 2044.457318 5366.612121 20592.714138 2.626237e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 314.253148 530.869810 967.058304 2079.750043 5723.147993 24204.746706 4.486193e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 293.952996 499.967213 919.295659 2006.591201 5668.401440 25353.060773 5.991198e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 276.889044 474.250183 880.451364 1951.737466 5668.016412 26937.137340 8.523385e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 260.860762 449.512354 841.552141 1890.960408 5628.034293 28268.972103 1.204568e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 257.204255 449.403153 857.782833 1989.367222 6277.534763 36185.129389 3.880056e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 251.093101 443.755117 860.705597 2050.016827 6804.401043 44499.525428 1.645117e+07
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 245.395187 438.504201 863.972311 2112.821149 7382.325253 55300.045169 2.331053e+08